by
Jim Stanford;
Progressive Economics Forum ; August 04, 2003
ZNet | Miscellaneous
Good
evening. My name is Jim. And I am an economist. It is
seventeen days since I last uttered the phrase "supply
and demand." But the demon still lurks, untamed,
within me.
I
know it's wrong that my particular profession hogs so
much attention, and is granted so much undeserved
credibility. I know it's wrong to pretend you can
forecast complex economic outcomes with three-decimal
accuracy. I know it's wrong to reduce the whole of the
human endeavour to the endless pursuit of material
prosperity. Yet still I yearn for economics. I hunger
for the prestige that comes with being the only social
science to regularly make The National. I savour the
smug power of belonging to that exclusive sect of
financial mystics who understand the magical circuits
of money and commodities.
So
let's face it. I'm an economist. I'll always be an
economist. The best I can do is recognize my
affliction. Name the hunger that haunts me. Reflect on
how to control it, how to keep it at bay. Learn to
avoid the events and issues that fan the internal
flame.
Every
other addiction has a Twelve Step program, laced with
tough love and blunt self-honesty. Why not a Twelve
Step program for economists?
God knows, they've done enough damage with their
arrogant, drunken prescriptions. Here's how each and
every economist can face up to their inner demons, and
make their own small contribution to setting things
right.
Step 1: Admit you have a problem. Like they say
at the AA meetings, this is half the solution. Where
economists are concerned, however, it's easier said
than done. Getting a substance abuser to face the
facts of their addition is nothing compared to
convincing an economist that they're hooked on elegant
but useless mathematical models, and authoritative but
destructive policy advice. Where economists are
concerned, we're talking denial with a capital 'D.'
Step 2: Accept that all your efforts to explain the
world have failed. The 'market' is the holiest
symbol in all of economics. It's magically automatic
and efficient. And supply always equals demand. The
whole profession of mainstream, 'neoclassical'
economics is dedicated to the study of markets and how
they can be perfected. The problem, however, is that
in real life these idealized 'markets' don't explain
much at all. Powerful non-market forces determine most
of what happens in the economy - things like
tradition, demographics, class, gender and race,
geography, and institutions. Indeed, what we call the
'market' is itself a complex, historically constructed
social institution - not some autonomous, inanimate
forum. Power and position are at least as important to
economics, as supply and demand.
Step 3: Turn to your friends in other disciplines
for help. Economists get pretty snobby about the
usefulness of other disciplines. After all, when's the
last time you saw the chief sociologist for the Royal
Bank interviewed on TV? Five years ago the Canadian
Economics Association even decided to hold its annual
conferences completely separate from the giant
congress of other social science disciplines. This
intellectual separatism harms the pursuit of
knowledge, and exaggerates the predisposition of
economists to a blinkered mode of thinking. A
recovering economist can confess - even in public -
that they might have something to learn from other
disciplines. Turn to your friends, those who haven't
been hypnotized by supply and demand graphs, for help
in understanding the world and how it works.
Step 4: Make a list of the situations where you are
most likely to act like an economist, and avoid those
situations. Recovering alcoholics know they must
avoid bars. Recovering economists must similarly avoid
any meeting or social gathering where they may be
asked to give authoritative views on where the economy
is going, explain elegant but counter-intuitive
doctrines (like why free trade is always good for
everyone, everywhere), or provide personal financial
advice. Even if you mean well, the damage to both
yourself and to your audience could be incalculable.
Step 5: Acknowledge that an expanding GDP will only
feed your habit. The growth rate of Gross Domestic
Product is the stuff of newspaper headlines and
international comparisons. Yes, it's true that having
more material wealth opens the possibility of using
that wealth to improve living standards in a
meaningful and sustainable way. But one doesn't
automatically imply the other. GDP leads to human
progress only if we make sure it does. If we are
concerned with how people live, and how they interact
with their environment, we must evaluate and target
those things directly, rather than blithely hoping
that a rising tide of GDP will lift all our boats.
Inspired by folks like Marilyn Waring, there's now a
determined constituency of activists promoting
alternative, more genuine measurements of our economic
progress. They believe these measures will guide us to
collectively adopt more balanced and genuine economic
and environmental policies. They are wrong. It is
power, not statistics, that determines how our economy
operates - the things we produce, the way we produce
them, and how the proceeds are divided. But taking on
the mainstream infatuation with gross output
indicators, and exposing the failure of growth to
solve the real problems of the world and its peoples,
is a useful way for recovering economists to start to
chip away at that power.
Step 6: Stop putting price tags on everything you
see. Economists believe the 'value' of something is
its monetary price. How, then, do we understand the
truly powerful passions and desires and emotions that
dominate our lives? Think of how most of us felt
during the SARS scare.
Ask Canadians at that point which was more important -
tax cuts or public health - and the choice would have
been overwhelming. Ask someone who's just lost a loved
one to place a dollar value on their feelings, and
you'll probably get socked in the face. For the things
that really determine our ability to lead a good life
- family, health, community, peace - there are no
price tags. Yet the business pages and the classifieds
and the Sears catalogues are full of them.
Step 7: Avoid the temptation to run regressions -
even "just one." Economics is at its addictive,
hyper-positivist worst when it substitutes inscrutable
statistical correlations for genuine creative thought.
It's even spawned its own sub-category of statistics:
'econometrics.' Certain tenured economists spend all
their research time performing computer regressions on
randomly paired data sets, searching blindly for
strong correlations which they then explain with a
theory custom-fit to the data. Quantitative analysis,
carefully applied, can play a useful role, both in
understanding the world and in seeking to change it.
But for a recovering economist, regressions are as
dangerous as that infamous glass of wine with dinner
for an alcoholic.
Step 8: Get off your pedestal. Economists place
themselves at the top of an assumed hierarchy of
knowledge. So it should be no surprise that they
enforce a rigid hierarchy within their own ranks. And
at the peak of that hierarchy, of course, stands one
economist above all others: the legendary 'Chief.'
Reporters are always trying to call me the 'Chief
Economist' of the CAW. "Wrong," I tell them. "I am
just the economist. There is no 'chief' economist."
But often as not, the adjective still slips into their
stories. It's as if they would undermine the authority
of their own reportage by admitting in print that they
only talked to a run-of-the-mill economist - not to
the chief.
Chances are, most 'Chief Economists' work just the
same way I do: solo, with no little "junior"
economists beavering away under their tutelage. But
the adjective is invoked nonetheless, to promote an
aura of gratuitous importance. Recovering economists
know their inherent worth comes from inside - so they
can lose the phony titles.
Step 9: Learn from those who went before you.
Mainstream economics is arrogantly ahistorical. In
most cases, capitalism is presented as a natural,
eternal state of human affairs. Even the term
'capitalism' is rarely used: naming the system, after
all, might imply that there are others. The preferred
euphemism is 'market economy,' which implies that the
economy is like some big flea market where anybody can
set up a card table on Saturday mornings and sell
their wares. It's just coincidence that General
Electric has $575 billion (U.S.) worth of capital
assets sitting on its card table, while you and I have
only our brains and our brawn to offer.
Modern economics was not actually invented until the
early days of capitalism. So the very discipline is
historically relative - not to mention the economies
it purports to study. And the roots of neoclassical
economics were always inherently ideological: to
justify, in the guise of explaining, the perverse
distribution of power and wealth that emerged under
this new social order. Studying economic history, and
the history of economics, is the best way to critique
this knee-jerk determinism, and to place the whole
profession in a healthier, more contingent context. In
economics, history itself is subversive.
Step 10: Make a list of the countries and people you
have harmed. Billions of human beings, entire
continents, even the planet itself - all have been
devastated by the glaringly misguided dictates of
economists. Even some of the most orthodox
practitioners at the World Bank and the International
Monetary Fund will now quietly admit that their
domineering advice to developing countries in recent
decades - liberalize trade, liberalize finance,
downsize government, and wait for the invisible hand
of the market to work its magic - was completely and
devastatingly wrong. Of course, these institutions
still actively perpetuate the poverty and hardship
which their own false recipe books did so much to
create. But large cracks are appearing in the
intellectual dominance and self-confidence of orthodox
economics.
Cataloguing the damage is an effective and damning
first step in tearing down the edifice.
Step 11: Make amends to those countries and people.
Every Twelve Step program requires the recovering
addict to humbly commit to fix up their own mess.
Economists are no different. This is the time for
recovering economists to step to the front of the room
and make personal pledges to undo the damage that has
been wrought in the name of supply and demand. Commit
to studying what's wrong with markets, as opposed to
how beautifully perfect they are. Work to empower
rank-and-file folk, instead of dominating them with
your apparent but phony expertise. Start to imagine
economic ideas that could change the world, rather
than invoking economic mumbo-jumbo to justify
inequality and explain why it's inevitable.
Step 12: Help other economists who come your way.
Perhaps the scariest thing about the economics
profession is that it seems to be becoming more
homogeneous with time, not less. Economics departments
at Canadian universities, by and large, will only hire
entry-level faculty who demonstrate requisite
acceptance of the free-market assumptions supporting
their elaborate but fragile intellectual scaffolding.
At least twenty years ago there was a token radical or
two in each department, around whom critical-minded
students could congregate. Today even that is rare.
Most progressive-thinking students flee in panic from
economics after their first mind-numbing encounter.
Recovering economists of any age need help to
rediscover their latent humanity and rededicate their
energies to the pursuit of things that really matter.
But none need our assistance and solidarity more than
economics students. Most are motivated by a gut-level
conviction that learning economics should allow us to
do great things for people and the planet. (Needless
to say, they didn't go into the field because of the
snappy dress or witty humour of their professors!) Yet
they are left to flounder in a curriculum that tests
mathematical aptitude more than ability to think, and
in which the urgent crises of the real world are made
invisible. If you encounter someone like this, put
your hand on their shoulder. Tell them you know how it
feels. Help them find alternative sources of economic
inspiration, and places where they can befriend other
recovering economists-in-training. Show them they're
not alone.
* * *
* *
Don't
get me wrong. Personally, I'm very happy to be an
economist. I still believe that there is a material
basis to most of the problems humanity faces. I think
economics is the best way for me to make a
contribution to human progress and social change, and
I've enjoyed great personal opportunities because of
my career choice. But lurking in my brain is a nagging
awareness that my own success was built at least
partly on the pseudo-rationalist coattails of the
whole arrogant discipline - even as I espouse a
twisted, and hopefully insidious, version of that
pseudo-rationalism.
So
collectively, my profession must come to grips with
its elitist addiction. I do it every morning when I
wake up, look myself in the mirror, and say out loud:
"I am an economist."
A version of this article appears in
the current edition of This Magazine. On-line help for
recovering economists is provided by the Progressive
Economics Forum (www.web.ca/~pef)./
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